JUNE - 2007

   IN THIS ISSUE
 
Job Picture in Illinois No Shining Star
Job creation in Illinois hasn’t kept pace with neighboring states or the nation according to a report by the Institute of Government and Public Affairs at the U. of I. Job growth in our state was only 3% during the decade ending in 2005 trailing the nation by a full 9 percentage points. The manufacturing sector lost a higher proportion of jobs than did other Midwest states and fewer jobs were created in finance and transportation, sectors where Illinois might be expected to lead. Overall, the shortfall was reflected in sector by sector with no single sector matching or exceeding the national rate of growth. Geographically, the Chicago area accounted for 92% of the job gains for the state during the period studied with a growth rate of 4.14%. This rate also trailed similar metro areas. Only the Bloomington-Normal metro area with job gains of 17.25% exceeded the national growth rate. Click here for a copy of the report.
 
The Wal-Mart Debate
When you become big enough, your business becomes everyone’s business. The theoretical list of ‘stakeholders’ becomes acutely real as more and more people demand their ‘stake’ in your business. No place is this clearer than with Wal-Mart. Once a small store in the backwoods of Arkansas whose major concern was how to feed the family, Wal-Mart is now called to account for how it benefits whole communities or even society. In response to the flood of criticism leveled at the company, Harvard’s Working Knowledge provides a clarifying look at the numbers. The article refers to the conclusions stated in a McKinsey study of the productivity growth in the U.S. between 1995 and 2000 that Wal-Mart was by far the most important factor contributing to that growth. Further, the Wal-Mart business model of low prices has meant that the greatest share of the value created by the company has gone to consumers. Wal-Mart prices are said to be at least 8% lower than prices of competitors when they enter a market. This translates into consumer savings of at least $18 billion per year in the U.S. Of course, this figure is just a fraction of the total benefit to consumers as it doesn’t take into account the additional savings generated as others lower their prices to remain competitive.

What does this say about the ‘battle of stakeholders?’ Clearly customers take the lion’s share of the value as the return to stockholders has only averaged 1.5% to 2% of revenues compared to their 8+%. And the argument of ‘society as stakeholder’ tips even further in Wal-Mart’s favor when you consider that the consumers getting the greatest share of the saving benefit are among the poorest in our society. Wal-Mart operates 2.5 times the amount of selling space in the poorest third of our states than they operate in the richest third of states. But what about employees as stakeholders? Those demanding a greater share of value for employees must face the reality that increased costs will necessarily come out of the savings currently going to customers. Even relatively small increases in pay would completely wipe-out shareholder surplus requiring higher prices. So this debate is really about whether customers are willing to share their savings with employees and it will only be resolved in the marketplace. Management gets its marching orders from customers not the philosophy of interest groups.
 
Globalization and Retirement Prosperity
On the one hand we struggle today to find a solution to problems of an aging population - fewer workers and increased costs. On the other hand we also struggle for a solution to the continuing outflow of jobs to other countries. Speakers at the recent Wharton 2007 Economic Summit suggest that these two seemingly problematic trends may, when taken together, resolve themselves. Wharton professor and economist Jeremy Siegel points out that workers investing today for their retirement will need buyers when they convert their investments into funds for retirement living. The next generation of workers in this country will not be sufficient to either replace their productive capacity nor to purchase the investments of the retiring generation. We need more affluent workers in developing countries to fill this gap and thereby solve at least part of the problems of the aging workforces of developed economies. Michael Milken echoed the importance of continued growth in developing countries noting that not only is the retired proportion of the population increasing rapidly but their retirement demands are growing as well. In many important ways medical advances have slowed aging and the retired worker of the future is much more active than their predecessors. The developing nations are thus needed not only as buyers of retiree investment vehicles but also to produce affordable goods and services for this expanding retired population. That means that the developed nations have a stake in the success of the underdeveloped economies. Milken stresses the importance of investment in human capital in both developed and developing economies citing examples of countries where a focus on education has led to future growth. Both speakers warn that protectionism among developed countries is the single greatest threat to bringing about successful solutions to the problems of retirement and jobs.
 
The Decline (or Disappearance) of Caveat Emptor
There was a time that you didn’t have to take a B-Law course to know the meaning of Caveat Emptor: Let the buyer beware! Yet most young people today have to guess if they encounter a test question asking for its meaning. It’s hardly necessary to enter the marketplace armed with caution so necessary up to the latter part of the last century. Today’s consumer is protected on all sides by a bodyguard of regulations and court cases some of which have stretched the boundaries of nuttiness. Where did all of these protections come from? Two factors propelled government into the shopping experience. First, the affluence that developed after WWII created new products of far greater complexity and cost shifting consumer focus to safety and quality. And these products were affordable to all inviting the formation of aggressive consumer interest groups that reached out for government intervention. At about the same time there was a fundamental change in the shopping experience itself. Small retailers with knowledgeable staff were rapidly replaced by high volume chain stores where the customer could no longer rely upon the integrity of a local proprietor or long-time sales person for product information when making purchasing decisions. This vacuum of knowledge and trust was filled by regulatory authority. The U.S. led in the development of consumer protection but other developed countries soon followed to the point that the old adage might now be more accurately stated as ‘let the seller beware.’ MORE
 
Small Business Certification Requirement Change
The Small Business Administration has issued a new rule effective June 30, 2007 requiring small businesses to recertify their size status on all federal contracts whenever they are acquired or merge with another company or annually prior to the sixth year of an existing long-term contract. Announced in November of 2006, the rule is intended to assure that the business size on file with the federal government is accurate for purposes of small business procurement programs. It will also help assure that more government contracts go to small businesses and not to larger companies that acquire a qualifying small business. If your business is involved with federal contracts, be sure to note this new reporting requirement of the SBA.
 
Illinois Chamber HR HELPLINE
Knowing what you can and can't do will help you prevent costly mistakes. Call our staff of HR experts. Let Pam Holleman help you deal with problems safely and avoid disputes. You can reach the HR Helpline toll-free at 800-322-4722.
 
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Business Services
Your membership in the Illinois Chamber pays! We offer valuable programs and services to our members at special discounts. Click here for our growing list of outstanding seminars, workshops and programs that will help you with your everyday business needs.
 
Support Your Guard & Reservists!
The Chamber urges all Illinois employers to recognize their Guard and Reserve employees by signing and displaying the ESGR Statement of Support. To get yours, simply complete an online form and you will receive a personalized certificate that demonstrates your support. Also visit the SBA Veteran's Business Development web site for assistance to small business owners that have employees activated in the Guard or Reserves. Click  MORE

The Exec Report - Copyright © 2007 The Illinois Chamber
Wood S. McComb, Editor
Debra McCarver, Director of Communications